Labor Market Uncertainty and Portfolio Choice Puzzles
- Author : Yongsung Chang, Jay H. Hong, and Marios Karabarbounis
- Journal : American Economic Journal-Macroeconomics / 10(2), 222-262, 2018
- Link : https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20160207
Abstract
The standard life-cycle models of household portfolio choice have difficulty generating a realistic age profile of risky share. These models not only imply a high risky share on average but also a steeply decreasing age profile, whereas the risky share is mildly increasing in the data. We introduce age-dependent labor-market uncertainty into an otherwise standard model. A great uncertainty in the labor market---high unemployment risk, frequent job turnovers, and an unknown career path---prevents young workers from taking too much risk in the financial market. As labor-market uncertainty is resolved over time, workers start taking more risk in their financial portfolios.